Every autumn, just after Labor Day, the conventional wisdom on booking your holiday trips makes the rounds: wait for sales, track the fare dips, or hold out until October to see if airline prices soften. When it comes to Thanksgiving and year-end holiday flights this year, that strategy will backfire.
Historical booking patterns show the steepest domestic airfare price spikes hit right around mid-September, with ticket costs climbing steadily from there. This year, airfare has risen steadily over the last eight months due to a number of factors, not the least of which is the cost of gas.
Paying an extra $100 or $200 per ticket is frustrating, but the financial hit is only part of the problem. The hidden risk of waiting is what happens to the remaining inventory.
Here’s what you need to know about booking holiday travel this year.

As prime routes and flights sell out, the airlines don’t just run out of seats; they run out of good itineraries. Travelers who wait too long this year will be left choosing between a 5:30 AM departure that requires waking up at 2:30 AM, an exhausting late-night red-eye, or a multi-leg journey with two layovers instead of a simple direct flight.
Settling for an awkward schedule leads to real physical fatigue, airport stress, and increased exposure to delays before you even reach your destination. Booking now is not merely about locking in a lower fare. It is about protecting your energy, your schedule, and your overall travel experience before the best flights vanish.
That’s why experts are recommending booking your holiday trips very early this year.
Booking your holiday trips very early will not only secure your ticket, it will also secure the safest path from point A to point B. The safest way to protect a trip from delays is to book a nonstop flight because every connection increases your risk of delays, de-icing holds, crew timeouts, and lost luggage.
It’s also the nonstop flights that sell out the quickest, so snagging them now will remove half of the failure points for your winter journey.
Airline algorithms love to show 45-minute layovers because they look sleek and efficient on the screen.
Smart travelers know that winter looks different at hubs like Chicago O’Hare, Denver, or Detroit and smart connection strategies are needed. A twenty-minute ride-share delay on wintery roads or an unexpected de-icing can quickly turn your first flight into a full-on sprint across packed concourses.
Even worse, if you miss that first connection during the peak holiday travel season, the next flight isn’t going to have empty seats for you and your family.
If you have to have a connection, look for itineraries with these features:
Another smart connection strategy, if you have a short hop from a regional airport to a major one, is to take the first flight the night before. Staying at an airport hotel with a shuttle means a good night’s sleep and a relaxed arrival to your connecting flight (plan that to be the first flight of the day, too).
Booking early gives you the ability to choose comfort and protect your physical well-being on your holiday trips. A cross-country trip when you’re packed into a basic economy seat with no option to recline is cause for back and hip pain that can make the first days after you land miserable.
As holiday fares climb, you’ll notice the airlines push their lowest advertised prices aggressively. Those basic tickets shave off a few dollars at the start, but they strip away every tool that keeps your trip comfortable and safe. You lose the ability to:
There’s another critical reason to lock in your flights early that has nothing to do with seat maps or airline schedules. It’s about the travel insurance timeline.
Most travelers assume you can buy a travel insurance policy whenever you get around to it. While that is technically true, the cost of waiting means you lose access to some of the most valuable protections.
Securing your airfare now does more than just pin down your route; it establishes your trip deposit date. By lining up your travel insurance within 14- to 21-days of your first purchase, you lock in full protection for your health, your family, and your investment well before the winter travel season begins.
Follow this checklist to ensure your itinerary is safe, comfortable, and well-protected before peak booking kicks into high gear:
Bonus: If you’re worried about buyer’s remorse if ticket prices drop later, forward your flight confirmation to an automated fare-tracking service like Junova. Tools like this monitor your booked itinerary in the background. If the airline lowers the fare between now and your departure date, the service automatically applies the difference as airline credits to your seats or schedule without altering them. It removes the risk of booking early, giving you the best seats today and the lower price tomorrow.
Damian Tysdal is the founder of CoverTrip, and is a licensed agent for travel insurance (MA 1883287). He believes travel insurance should be easier to understand, and started the first travel insurance blog in 2006.